Let's examine the developments this week in the world of AI through the lens of predictions made just two years ago. It is hard to contextualise just how crazy the times we are living in without seeing what people thought would be happening now.

From the Bard upgrade in vision and spoken language, to Claude 2, Mustafa Suleyman's latest predictions for Inflection AI to xAI reported promises of $200 million to those leaving DeepMind and OpenAI, this brief video tries to cover a lot. And not to forget the FTC's exhaustive investigation OpenAI and Sam Altman's response on twitter.

A Brief History of AI: https://www.amazon.co.uk/Brief-History-Artificial-Intelligence-Where/dp/1250770742/ref=sr_1_1?crid=VCZ0CVPTUSO9&keywords=A+brief+history+of+AI&qid=1689587065&sprefix=a+brief+history+of+ai%2Caps%2C76&sr=8-1
Bard: https://bard.google.com/
PaLM 2 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.10403.pdf
Bard Languages: https://support.google.com/bard/answer/13575153?hl=en
PaLI: https://sites.research.google/pali/
GPT 4 Story: https://www.reddit.com/r/ChatGPT/comments/120oq1x/i_asked_gpt4_to_write_a_book_the_result_echoes_of/
GPT 4 RC: https://openai.com/research/gpt-4
Let's Verify Step by Step: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.20050.pdf
FTC Investigation: https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/07/13/ftc-openai-chatgpt-sam-altman-lina-khan/
Sam Altman Tweet: https://twitter.com/sama/status/1679602638562918405?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
2021 MATH Forecast: https://bair.berkeley.edu/blog/2021/10/14/forecasting/
Metaculus AGI: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
Claude 2: https://poe.com/Claude-2-100k
Million Dollar AI: https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/07/14/1076296/
I, Robot Clip: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=siHfHUm3HGE
xAI $200 million: https://www.semafor.com/article/07/14/2023/elon-musk-threw-nine-figure-promises-at-top-ai-researchers

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Bad AI Predictions: Bard Upgrade, 2 Years to AI Auto-Money, OpenAI Investigation and more